It's an Australian pasttime to try and work out who's going to win the triple j Hottest 100 countdown each year. It feels like it's always a bit of a guessing game working out how Australia's going to vote - but there's some things that are common among Hottest 100 winners.
Tones And I, Denzel Curry and Billie Eilish are most likely to top the Hottest 100 this year with Dance Monkey, Denzel's Like A Version cover of Rage Against The Machine's Bulls On Parade and bad guy respectively, based on the latest Sportsbet odds.
Picking who's going to win is proving a difficult task for many, so here are a few facts that might help you predict who's going to win the Hottest 100 this year, and impress all your friends (and win some prizes at a Hottest 100 party).
Splitting votes doesn't help
No artist in the last decade has won the Hottest 100 while having another song in the top five. However, Peking Duk, Tame Impala and Gang Of Youths have all had two songs in the top five in the same time period. Having a huge single does wonders for your Hottest 100 hopes, but having two might not work to your advantage.
Long songs don't win
Everyone loves a long ballad, but not when it comes to their Hottest 100 votes. A good pop song usually sits somewhere between three and five minutes long, and Hottest 100 winners are no different. The average length of a Hottest 100 winner since 2010 is 3 minutes and 38 seconds long. Dance Monkey is 3 minutes and 30 seconds long, so it's pretty close to the perfect length.
It's hard to split Dance Monkey, Bulls On Parade and bad guy when it comes to predicting who's going to win. It'll be a history-making victory, no matter who wins - as no solo female act has ever taken the Hottest 100 out, and neither has a Like A Version cover. We can't wait to see who's going to win this year, because it's always a great celebration of the last year in music.
Australians rule the roost
Over the last decade, only two non-Australian artists have won the Hottest 100 - Macklemore and Kendrick Lamar. It's no secret that the Hottest 100 is a celebration of Australian music, and given the big year in Australian music that was 2019, it's shaping up to be another countdown dominated by Australian artists. 65 of the songs that made the 2018 countdown were Australian - will that number be beaten this year?
February truly is the Hottest month
Looking to release a song that makes the Hottest 100? Then release it in February. Triple J released statistics around 2018's countdown, and gave a month-by-month breakdown on when songs in the countdown were released. Songs released in February featured 14 times, followed by 13 songs in April, 12 songs in May, 10 songs in August, 9 songs in both June and October, 8 songs in July, 7 songs in September, 6 songs in January and November, and 3 songs in March and December. Fun fact - Dance Monkey was released in May. Good chance it'll make it in the countdown.
Some things change, some things stay the same
The 2019 countdown is a particularly special one for DMA'S and Peking Duk, who will be pushing for the 6th straight countdown where they've had at least one song feature. DMA'S will be hoping the first taste of their third album, Silver, makes the countdown, while Peking Duk will be hoping one of their pair of singles released in 2019, Sugar and Ur Eyez will have won fans over. They're well on the way to matching the 10-year streak set by the Living End, who featured in every countdown from 1997 to 2006.